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COVID-19 Data Analysis Update - 09. July 2020 - Forecast

This forecast is based on a linear regression and extrapolation of growth rate trends, as can be seen in the Logarithmic and Arithmetic growth rate trend figures (click on the country name). It represents an estimate on the final number of cases until the predicted end of the COVID-19 epidemic in that particular country.
Scroll down for other forecasts.

CountryInfected case estimateConfidence error (+/-)Death estimateConfidence error (+/-)Current death rate
⇒ World exclude China1805614355356353789651161820.0449
⇒ Europe2378113662707146790409050.0768
⇒ Australia73621569112230.0117
⇒ Austria1663138066821560.0379
⇒ Belgium5904012348754715780.1572
⇒ Canada102676197361823735050.0819
⇒ Czech1046448464021860.0272
⇒ Germany18366535977704713800.0458
⇒ Indonesia19566275420792730550.0483
⇒ Iran26240816723430762196040.0491
⇒ Israel30194314202152230.0100
⇒ Italy230295470512736055890.1441
⇒ Malaysia8066257487270.0139
⇒ Poland378721306512354260.0420
⇒ Romania2827612721230710370.0596
⇒ Spain283472664222587060610.0946
⇒ Switzerland30527651816653550.0603
⇒ Thailand303572847110.0181
⇒ Turkey18414250907504213930.0252
⇒ UK2719627096650557131920.1551
⇒ USA32607101477209115895525040.0422

Other forecasts, based on data supplied on:
2020-03-24   2020-03-27   2020-03-31   2020-04-03   2020-04-07   2020-04-10   2020-04-14  
2020-04-17   2020-04-21   2020-04-24   2020-04-28   2020-05-01   2020-05-05   2020-05-08  
2020-05-12   2020-05-15   2020-05-19   2020-05-22   2020-05-26   2020-05-29   2020-06-02  
2020-06-05   2020-06-09   2020-06-12   2020-06-16   2020-06-19   2020-06-23   2020-06-26  
2020-06-30   2020-07-01   2020-07-02   2020-07-03   2020-07-04   2020-07-05   2020-07-06  
2020-07-07   2020-07-08   2020-07-09   2020-07-10   2020-07-11   2020-07-12   2020-07-13  
2020-07-14   2020-07-15   2020-07-16   2020-07-17   2020-07-18   2020-07-19   2020-07-20  
2020-07-21   2020-07-22   2020-07-23   2020-07-24   2020-07-25   2020-07-27   2020-07-28  
2020-07-29   2020-07-30   2020-07-31   2020-08-01   2020-08-02   2020-08-03   2020-08-04  
2020-08-05   2020-08-06  


In case of an error in this service please contact:
Heiko Schinke (phone: +49 - 341 - 9959 692, email)