Abstract for the talk at 25.06.2007 (17:00 h)Oberseminar Statistical Mechanics
Hans-Otto Georgii (LMU München)
Supercritical multitype branching processes: the backward view
For supercritical multitype Markov branching processes in continuous time, I consider the type evolution along the lineage leading to a randomly chosen individual living at time t. The main results are almost-sure convergence theorems for both time and population averages of ancestral types (conditioned on non- extinction), and the identification of the mutation process describing the type evolution along such lineages. Important tools are a representation of the family tree in terms of a suitable size-biased tree with trunk, and large deviation theory.